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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Will Brinson
    +185
    (56%)
    5-4 in Last 9 NFL Picks
    DAL -4.5
    -115
    Spread
    LOSS
    Picked: Dec 30 @ 9:18am

    Analysis

    This line at DraftKings is nearly a full point lower than the rest of the market and I want to jump on it now. The Cowboys are the quintessential "great offense with a bad defense who missed the playoffs and get to put up a meaningless blowout victory against a division opponent in Week 18" team. We see a couple every year. Brian Schottenheimer can close out the year with two strong division wins and Jerry Jones will be "happy" or close to it, with zero talk about his job security. Dak could have a monster game here against a hapless Giants defense.
  • expert headshot
    Mike Tierney
    +426
    (65%)
    11-6 in Last 17 NFL ATS Picks
    MIN -5.5
    -120
    Spread
    WIN
    Picked: Dec 29 @ 12:17am

    Analysis

    Even on a three-game slide entering Week 18, the Packers' priority is restoring health for the playoffs, where they are locked in as a 7 seed. Hence, look for several no-names on the field. Ailing QB Jordan Love, withheld from Saturday's loss to Baltimore. might get another DNP after a half-dozen teammates went down during the game. Already Green Bay was among the most injury-decimated team. Less uncertain is the status of Vikings QB JJ McCarthy. The injury-prone player skipped Sunday's game. It might not matter if he plays should Minnesota dispatch mostly first-stringers elsewhere against a bunch of Packers backups. The Vikes likely can name the score, within reason.
  • expert headshot
    Mike Tierney
    +426
    (65%)
    11-6 in Last 17 NFL ATS Picks
    HOU -10
    -110
    Spread
    LOSS
    Picked: Dec 30 @ 9:55am

    Analysis

    The proud Houston defense must have looked forward to sending Indy QB Philip Rivers into his second retirement. Alas, it may not get the chance. The Colts are leaning to starting QB Riley Leonard, a rookie drafted in the sixth round. That could be considered cruel punishment, sending him out for start No. 1 against the league's nastiest defense. The Texans have plenty to play for. A division title, though remote, remains possible. Short of it, they could secure a fifth seed on the AFC bracket. Most of the wins in their current eight-game SU streak are by one score, but they have yet to feast on a QB this green.
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    +838
    (58%)
    42-30-1 in Last 73 NFL ATS Picks
    MIN -6
    -110
    Spread
    WIN
    Picked: Dec 30 @ 8:55pm

    Analysis

    The Vikings have won and covered four straight, thanks primarily to a peaking defense. They've allowed one touchdown pass while making five interceptions over the past seven games. J.J. McCarthy has a chance to return from his hand injury, but even if he doesn't, Max Brosmer shouldn't have to do much against Green Bay's backups. The Packers are locked into the No. 7 seed. Last year, in a largely meaningless Week 18 game, Christian Watson tore his ACL and Jordan Love injured his elbow. I'm expecting Clayton Tune to start at QB; Malik Willis is dealing with a shoulder injury and the Packers might need him in the playoffs.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #4
    +402
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 NCAAB Picks
    CAN +5.5
    -110
    Spread
    WIN
    Picked: Jan 4 @ 11:34am

    Analysis

    Canisius has looked vastly better at home this season so I'm a bit surprised getting this many points even if not very good. But neither is Sacred Heart. Griffins junior Kahlil Singleton scored a career-high 37 points in beating Fairfield on Friday. He is the second Griff in program history to score 30-or more points in multiple home games in the same season, joining Billy Baron, who did it in 2013-14. Singleton is one of two players in the nation this season to have multiple 30-plus point games and multiple games with eight-or more 3-pointers made. Sorry for a shade late but I saw FanDuel had moved this to 5.5 from 4.5 and I wanted to get that.

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